What is Regression to the mean?
- Content Type:
- Glossary
Regression to the mean Definition
Tendency for behavior of subjects to move toward the average for that behavior during the course of an experiment.
Regression to the mean refers to the statistical phenomenon where extreme observations or scores tend to move closer to the average when measured again. It often occurs when results are influenced by temporary factors or random variation.
Who relies on understanding regression to the mean in market research?
Statisticians, analysts, experimental researchers, quality assurance teams and insights professionals rely on understanding this concept to interpret data trends accurately and avoid false conclusions.
What are the key aspects of regression to the mean in market research?
- Appears when data is selected based on extreme values.
- Not a result of actual change, but statistical tendency.
- Can distort results if not accounted for.
- Common in pre-post study designs.
- Requires proper control groups or repeated measures to identify.
Why is regression to the mean important to understand in market research?
Recognizing it prevents researchers from attributing change to an intervention when it’s due to natural variation. Misinterpreting this effect can lead to flawed conclusions and misguided business decisions.
How do market researchers use regression to the mean?
Researchers control for it by using randomized control groups, repeated measurements and careful study design. It’s especially considered in tracking studies, campaign lift measurement and evaluating extreme customer feedback.